SETI: Shall We Try?
by Dave Raub
It appears from scientific opinion that present-day technology is
capable of mounting a very effective search for extraterrestrial signals.
The question we must ask ourselves is: Is it worth about half the cost of
the Apollo Program to attempt such a search? The biggest barrier to
making such an expenditure is that we cannot GUARANTEE success.
Such an undertaking represents a very expensive gamble.
Against the risk we must weigh the potential benefits. In all
likelihood, intelligent civilizations have existed in this galaxy
for at least 5 billion years. It seems very probable that many of
these civilizations have been taking place for aeons and beacons may
well exist to help young races, such as ourselves, to join this
galactic community founded before our sun was ever born. Some who have
studied the problem for a very long time feel that all past history
of the galaxy alone may indeed be merely a prelude to an inconceivably
exciting future as participants in galactic culture. At the very least
we could expect to gain access to a heritage of knowledge billions
of years old. What astronomer would not cherish to have pictures of the
galaxy and the universe many billions of years old? Wouldn't we all like
to learn the natural histories of all life in the galaxy and the
social structures that have led to the survival of the oldest cultures?
I cannot conceive that man, unable to travel to the stars, will not
some day attempt to reach other life through interstellar communications.
Is it too early to begin the Search? Or will the year 2001 no longer
find us an isolated species, but beginning a new epoch in the evolution
of all life on earth?
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